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Reckoning the sterling value of the dollar at 1/-
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the deficit on this year's working is estimated at $4,000,000
and however carefully expenditure is pruned it will be
impossible to reduce this deficit to less than $2,000,000
and should the dollar further depreciate the position i ll
be worse. The liquid resources of the Treasury will require
augmenting and this can only be done by means of borrowed
money and/or additional taxation. As the currency problem
is at the moment so obscure I consider it would be as well
merely to borrow this year under the Hong Kong Treasury Bills
Crdinance No.6. of 1926 and obtain a long dated loan in 1932
for $14,000,000 or its equivalent in sterling. Treasury
Bills could no doubt be sold by the Crow Agents for 31% per annum and would give a year in which full consideration could be given to loan proposals and methods of raising
further money, whether in sterling or dollars. Assuming that these proposals are approved money will be required as under
£200,000 Treasury Bills
1931
$4,000,000
1932
14,000,000 = of which $5,000,000 to
repay P.W.D. Ioan 1927 and $4,000,000 to repay
Treasury Bills 1931.
1933
4,500,000
1934
4,500,000
1935
2,000,000
1936
1,650,000
The interest on the Treasury Bills of £200,000 at
31% amounts to £7,000 or $140,000 which would have to be
provided during 1932. If the loan of $14,000,000 or £700,000 were placed on a twenty-eight years basis (Interest
on Sinking Fund investments being reckoned at 4%) with
interest 4% and sinking fund 2% and subsequent borrowings
on the same lines the cost to the Colony would be as under.
1933.
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